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Listen to the optimists, and the AI-driven economic boom is at the doorstep. The Penn Wharton Budget Model projects AI will add 1.5% to GDP and productivity over the next decade. Goldman Sachs says it could add up to three percentage points to productivity every year. By the mid-2030s, AI might increase work output by 20%, according to Vanguard.

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三份报告叠在一起,拼出的结论只有一个:AI的上半场打完了。谁的模型更大、算力更强,这场军备竞赛几乎已经没有悬念。真正的战争,是下半场——谁能把AI嵌进真实的行业里,谁能解决那些又脏又难、但价值巨大的落地问题。